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日经调查预测:中国2025经济增长4.4%
另一方面,在调查中,将人民币兑美元汇率的预期向人民币兑美元贬值方向修正的情况较为突出。2025年底经济学家的预测平均值为1美元兑7.37元,与上次调查 (7.05元)相比转向人民币贬值。经济学家一致认为,由于经济的不确定性和与美国的利率差扩大,人民币抛售压力将加强。
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